osOpinion: As Good as It Gets for Linux
Apr 03, 2003, 07:00 (21 Talkback[s])
(Other stories by Vincent Ryan)
"It's great to see Linux getting the attention it deserves. But
I wonder if any Linux lovers suspect they are witnessing the apogee
of Linux' reign. It's time to drink up the air and enjoy the
moment, because it will not last.
"What I'm saying is that while Linux has great legs, it will run
out of steam eventually. Its market penetration will increase, but
not by much. Remember the technology adoption life cycle model in
which disruptive technologies have to 'cross the chasm' to be
accepted by mainstream users? Linux is right at edge of the chasm,
and I don't think it's going to make it across to the other
"Why? When I take a hard look at Linux's prospects, three things
jump out at me..."