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osOpinion: As Good as It Gets for Linux

Apr 03, 2003, 07:00 (21 Talkback[s])
(Other stories by Vincent Ryan)

"It's great to see Linux getting the attention it deserves. But I wonder if any Linux lovers suspect they are witnessing the apogee of Linux' reign. It's time to drink up the air and enjoy the moment, because it will not last.

"What I'm saying is that while Linux has great legs, it will run out of steam eventually. Its market penetration will increase, but not by much. Remember the technology adoption life cycle model in which disruptive technologies have to 'cross the chasm' to be accepted by mainstream users? Linux is right at edge of the chasm, and I don't think it's going to make it across to the other side.

"Why? When I take a hard look at Linux's prospects, three things jump out at me..."

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