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Gartner: 1999 OS Forecast: The Linux Face-Off

Oct 16, 1999, 15:38 (27 Talkback[s])

"While Linux will have important niche roles, it will not gain broad acceptance as a substitute for Unix and Windows in the enterprise in the near term."

"GartnerGroup's Dataquest and GartnerGroup's annual forecast (see Figure 1) for server/host OS spending project Linux hardware spending to represent approximately 3.9 percent of traditional server revenue, or $2.2 billion in 2004 (see Note 1). Linux servers will represent a higher percentage of server appliance revenues (in the range of 25 percent), or close to $4 billion."

"... once Microsoft ships Windows 2000 Server with a service pack in 2H00, the compelling argument for Linux will recede..."

"Linux's greatest competitive impact will be to speed erosion of weaker Unix variants..."

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