Forbes: Microsoft cries wolfJul 22, 1999, 13:10 (10 Talkback[s])
(Other stories by David Einstein)
Thanks to BR for this link.
"Microsoft is crying wolf again. Every year the company warns that revenues are about to slow down, and every quarter revenues just keep roaring along. But in a couple of years, the wolf may actually be at the door."
"By 2002, say industry analysts, technologies just now rearing their heads will mature, provide alternatives to Microsoft's Windows hegemony and hamper the Redmond, Wash., company's ability to grow at 30% per years--the way it has through most of this decade. And that could spell real trouble for the software giant, because the value of its stock depends largely on its top line growth."
"The new stuff that could conspire to burst Bill Gates' bubble:"
"* Linux. Although it's still beneath the radar as a competitor to Windows NT, the lean, open-source, Unix-based operating system is starting to attract the attention of developers, who are creating applications and utilities for it. Within a couple of years, it could put a major dent in Microsoft sales, slowing what right now is the company's fastest growing revenue generator. And Linux also could * challenge Windows 98-- or whatever they're calling it two years from now--on the desktop. As the graphical user interfaces for Linux become more practical, consumers, small businesses and even big corporations may opt for PCs pre-loaded with Linux from companies such as Red Hat, and applications like the upcoming WordPerfect Office for Linux from Corel..."