"The disruptive technology currently attacking Microsoft...
is the Open Source development model. Eric Raymond's classic
paper "The Cathedral and the Bazaar"... explains how software can
be developed not by a team of highly trained professionals, but by
a loose association of hobbyists organized through the
"While traditional software development is motivated by the sale
value of that software, Open Source development is motivated by the
software's use value."
"According to the Gartner Group's estimate, Linux passed the 10
million user mark during 1998 and was growing at 212% annually at
the time. Assuming it slows to 100% annual growth (which it has
maintained since its introduction in 1990), it will surpass the
Windows installed base in about three years. At that point, the
network effects will favor Linux and hinder Windows."