"Citing the development of languages like C and Pascal, Rick
explains why he thinks there will only be one or two Linux
distributions in the next few years."
"Several readers thoughtfully disagreed with my prediction that
over the next few years the number of Linux variants will shrink to
one or two major distributions, and that these changes will cost
Linux some of its characteristic vitality and flexibility. My
disagreeing compatriots predict that, if anything, Linux
distributions will grow and diversify as Linux becomes more
"... They may be right. Historically, though, that's not the way
markets have developed."