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DesktopLinux: Looking Into the Future of Linux

Oct 14, 2004, 23:30 (3 Talkback[s])
(Other stories by Tom Adelstein)

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"Advances in desktop Linux are developing along two trend lines--one for adoption and the other for innovation. The rate of adoption for Linux shows steady growth at a constant rate. However, technological advances can have an unpredictable impact on adoption--and cause exponential growth.

"Analysts agree on the current rate of adoption within the enterprise and among consumers and predict a minor dent in market share. Some analysts forecast that now that Linux has surpassed Apple's market share, it will take a six percent share over the next two years. Given conventional wisdom, those predictions seem reasonable..."

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