Will Mozilla Thunderbird 3 fail?

"Thunderbird 3.0 is the first major release of Thunderbird in years and that's a very bad thing in my view. Unlike its cousin Firefox which has had regular releases and enjoys a large user-base and following, Thunderbird (to date) hasn't generated the same type of attraction.

"Back in 2007, Mozilla tried to kick start Thunderbird development by spinning out a new organization called Mozilla Messaging which was tasked with building Thunderbird. What have they done in the last two years?".

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