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Top Ten Bad Tech Predictions for 2009

Dec 18, 2009, 01:34 (0 Talkback[s])
(Other stories by Mike Elgan)


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"Many tech predictions are so vague and couched in such gaseous, unprovable language that they're not worth the virtual ink they're written with. Alex Chriss predicted last year that in 2009, "The mobile industry is going to be boring." Martin Veitch predicted that "virtual desktops and mobile devices will be everywhere." "Boring" and "everywhere" are vague to the point of meaninglessness. These can't be wrong -- but they can't be right, either.

"...10. Twitter will get a business model - Josh Catone. Unless the business model is to keep raising venture capital, Twitter hasn't got one. Catone isn't alone. This is the most popular wrong prediction about 2009. Dozens of pundits made it.

"...9. Apple will announce a successor to Steve Jobs..."

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