"Even though this is the end of the decade only for
those who can't count, retrospectives seem more common than
predictions in the last days of 2009. Or maybe, after a year of
recession, all the pundits are nervous about the future.
"But, never being one to follow a trend or get nostalgic, I
prefer to look ahead to what the next year holds for open source
software. Everything always happens ten times faster in open source
than in mainstream computing, but, even by open source standards,
2010 promises to be an interesting year.
"We can take for granted, I think, that open source will
continue to gain popularity. 2010 will not be the fabled Year of
the Linux Desktop, but we should continue to see the same slow,
steady increase in adoption of the past decade.
"But what else? Let me prove my foolhardiness and make nine
specific predictions about what to expect in 2010 in open source
communities, technology, and business:"