"So begins a new white paper from research analyst IDC. History
supports the logic of the statement, but applying the same logic to
predict the future is a dangerous game. Having good starting data
can help considerably in that regard, though, and that's what makes
this report interesting. Its title is Linux Adoption in a Global
Recession, and it marshals some impressive data to predict that
Linux will be a significant gainer, while others are punished by
the current global meltdown.
"The report bases that conclusion in part on its finding that:
"Linux users are clearly satisfied about their choice to deploy
Linux, and during trying economic times, the potential for those
same customers to ramp up their deployment of Linux is strong." In
other words, unlike the last recession, in which the free OS had to
establish itself in environments where it had never been deployed
before (its market share increased dramatically anyway), this time
it need only increase its beachhead among existing users in order
to post impressive gains. But IDC predicts that it will also do
quite well with new, missionary sales as well, promising that this
time around, its competitive position should strengthen as well as
broaden - including on the desktop."
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