“I’m not suggesting insurance companies will throw away their
mainframes. They’re working, they’re paid for, so they’ll stick
But the rapid adoption of cloud-based architectures is going to
make it very difficult to consolidate future IT onto mainframes
(something that happened in every prior generation) and is also
going to reduce the incentive for doing so in the first place.
After 20 years of imminent irrelevance, there’s finally a real
reason to think their time is up.