Linux desktop market share: Small no matter how you measure

“It doesn’t give me any pleasure in saying this, but the
evidence is overwhelming that Linux is not huge on the desktop.
Saying it has maybe 1% of the desktop marketshare is probably not
realistic, but not as far off the mark as we’d like.

“Measuring Linux market share is not an easy task, especially
not on the desktop. Most Linux users don’t buy Linux pre-loaded,
they download Ubuntu, Fedora, Debian, openSUSE, or another distro
from a series of mirrors, BitTorrents, or share CDs. No matter how
you count up, though, the total number is pretty small compared to
the number of desktops in use.

“A lot of folks are bandying about a 1% figure, citing Web
statistics and so on. Caitlyn Martin, over on O’Reilly Broadcast,
says that the 1% figure is a myth, and goes on to argue that
“Educated guesswork probably puts Linux at close to 10%, just about
even with MacOS. That is a far cry from 1% and is in no way
insignificant.””

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